Founding President of IMANI Africa, Franklin Cudjoe, has cast doubts on Vice President Dr Mahamudu Bawumia’s prospects in the upcoming 2024 General Elections following his recent win in the New Patriotic Party’s (NPP) presidential primary.

Despite receiving 61.47 percent of the votes, Cudjoe suggests this endorsement may not be enough for a national victory.

In a statement following the NPP's internal election results, Mr Cudjoe pointed out a historical pattern where successful presidential candidates in Ghana's general elections had previously secured more than 64 percent in their party’s primaries.

"No candidate has gone on to win the general elections if the person had obtained less than 64 percent of the vote in the internal primaries," Mr Cudjoe highlighted in a Facebook post on Sunday.

The comment follows the election of Dr. Bawumia as the NPP flagbearer on Saturday, November 4, where he secured 118,210 votes, translating to 61.47 percent of the valid votes.

His nearest rival, Ken Agyapong, Member of Parliament for Assin Central, received 71,996 votes, equating to 37 percent.

Adding historical context to his analysis, Mr Cudjoe mentioned, “No candidate in Ghana’s history has gone on to win the general elections if s/he obtained less than 85% of the vote in internal primaries, except in 2000, which was a very special election (the country had never before seen a switch of power through the ballot).”

The prediction by Mr Cudjoe brings a speculative edge to the political discussions as Ghana inches closer to its 2024 General Elections, with all eyes on whether Dr Bawumia can break the historical trend.