18th May 2023 8:47:33 AM
2 mins readIn recent months, the Ghanaian cedi has emerged as the top-performing currency worldwide against the US dollar, exhibiting a remarkable 33% increase since November.
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This outstanding surge places the cedi ahead of approximately 150 currencies tracked by Bloomberg, surpassing its counterparts in both emerging and frontier markets.
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Market observers and investors attribute this impressive appreciation to the growing confidence surrounding Ghana's imminent board approval from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for a $3 billion bailout package.
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The relentless strengthening of the cedi persists, with the currency recording gains for a fourth consecutive day and reaching a trading level of 10.95 per US dollar as of 9:57 a.m. in Accra.
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This sustained rally has bolstered investor confidence, leading to substantial returns of nearly 12% on Ghana's dollar-denominated bonds.
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This performance surpasses the average return of 3.6% achieved by similar instruments in emerging and frontier markets, as indicated by a Bloomberg index.
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Economists and analysts closely monitor the developments regarding the IMF bailout, anticipating that the positive sentiment and potential disbursement of the initial tranche of funds could further drive the appreciation of the cedi in the coming days.
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Daniel Kavishe, an Africa economist at Rand Merchant Bank, highlights the correlation observed in other markets that have received IMF programs and immediate fund disbursements, suggesting a similar positive reaction in Ghana.
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Kavishe expresses his belief that the cedi could potentially trade at a rate below 10-to-1 against the US dollar if the authorities receive the initial funding.
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The Ghanaian cedi’s surge against the US dollar has caught the attention of investors worldwide. As Ghana’s economic landscape continues to evolve, the nation is poised to leverage this momentum to attract greater investment and foster sustainable growth in the years to come.
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